Forward Oregon

Earlier this week, a KATU poll showed that Jeff Merkley has some work to do trailing his main primary opponent and lacking name identification.  The KATU poll also showed that 40% of likely primary voters as undecided in the contest.  However, a recently released poll by Riley Research gives the Speaker encouraging news about courting those undecided voters.

The poll shows Democrats having a +17% approval rating of the just finished speciall session. Riley’s poll indicates that the Democrats who are aware of the Legislature’s work approve overwhelmingly, with only 13% of Democrats registering a negative opinion of the session.  The bigger news for Merkley, who has centered his campaign themes around the progressive policies and his leadership in the legislative session, is that when he gets that message out, Democrats approve overwhelmingly.

Merkley seems poised to push that message, hitting the airwaves with a $88,000 ad buy to put this new spot up which highlights Merkley’s legislative message:

Merkley’s effort will also be boosted by a strong voter’s pamphlet statement, which can be seen as the key to last minute swing voters.  These voters will see the long list of Merkley endorsers and the legislative accomplishments that Riely’s poll suggests are viewed very favorably by the Democratic electorate.  If Merkley can up his name identification and push his message in the coming weeks before the primary, he should be in a excellent posistion.

Something that many hard core supporters (especially bloggers) both candidates in the US Senate primary in Oregon often forget is that a huge chunk of voters are not aware of either Democratic Senate candidate.  With such low name ID on the ticket, both the ground game and television will be hugely important, as candidates still have to introduce themselves to voters.  Jeff Merkley’s first TV ad is about to hit the airwaves, introducing him as a reformer, a fighter, someone who leads, and someone who gets things done:

My favorite story about Jeff Merkley fighting for what matters was his unrelenting pursuit of equality for LGBT families in the legislature.  In 2005 when Merkley and the Democrats were in the minority. Karen Minnis use an underhanded rule change to keep Merkley from bringing a Civil Unions bill to the floor and passing it less than a year after the state banned gay marriage. Merkley wouldn’t take Minnis’ flack and refused to stop questioning the rule change despite being gaveled down and ruled out of order by Minnis. Karen Minnis then cut off his mic on the House floor and threatened to have state troopers remove him. But Merkley kept right on fighting and in 2007 won passage of historic legislation for basic rights and domestic partnerships.

Thats the kind of fighter I want in the United States Senate, one that knows how to fight, when to fight, and doesn’t give up. That is why I am proud to support Jeff Merkley.

The Governor hotel’s wireless was was buggy preventing me from live blogging the debate, but that didn’t prevent Jeff Merkley putting on a dynamic and commanding performance that left Novick scrambling to explain his caustic style and attacks against the character of prominent progressives.

From the moment the debate started, with Jeff Merkley rolling out the endorsement of Basic Rights Oregon, the most important LGBTQ civil rights group in the state, Merkley had the upper hand and Novick was on the defensive. There were no significant policy differences but the main thrust of the debate centered around which candidates style of leadership would best be suited for getting progressive results as a United States Senator.

That ground was extremely fruitful for Speaker Merkley. Novick came out swinging blindly, attacking Merkley for a poll testing messaging against Novick, but Novick was forced to admit that he had put a similar poll in the field just a few weeks earlier. Novick’s negativity immediately out of the gate, a style that he has employed throughout the campaign, would be prove to be a huge blunder as during the question and answer section Novick was on the defensive trying to explain attacks on progressives. Novick was asked whether he stood by his his smear that Senator Obama was just a “captive-of-special-interests fraud who doesn’t really care about global warming and doesn’t deserve to be hailed as some great Kenya-Kansas hope?” Novick fumbled his response, claiming that it was an issue based criticism. When asked to defend insulting Hillary Clinton calling her a traitress and a coward, he said that his comments were undiplomatic but stood by them. Merkley followed by saying “I keep trying to see you going up to President Obama, I’m sorry I called you a fraud but could you help me get county payments passed? Or President Clinton, I’m sorry I called you a traitress and a coward but could you help me expand the Mount Hood Wilderness area?.” It was an absolutely devastating line of questioning.

It only got worse for Novick when Merkley pulled the humor club out of his bag asking Novick about his anti U2 singer and activist Bono remarks. Merkley’s question earned big laughs and Novick took the bait hook line and sinker, viciously attacking the antipoverty and anti AIDS activist, saying that he would vote for Smith over Bono. If the other questions didn’t fully convince viewers about Novick’s attack first mentality, Novick’s inability to laugh this off or even responded amicably to this question should put the nail in the coffin.

Merkley presented plenty of contrast citing example after example of how he had worked with legislators to focus on results rather than insults. Merkley talked about his ability to forge coalitions to get things done and how important relationships are in a legislative body like the United States Senate. Merkley was able to connect his type of politics with the great historical shift that we are currently experiencing right now the new politics of Senator Obama that have inspired thousands of Oregonians to register to vote and get involved in politics.

Merkley overwhelmingly won in front of one of the most influential audiences of the state, the Portland City Club. The debate will get more exposure than just the opinion leaders of the City Club, as the debate will be aired all over the state on Oregon Public Broadcasting. Merkley was able to successfully indict Novick’s caustic and nasty style of politics while staying above the fray. Merkley, in front of the biggest audience of the campaign, carried the day as the only candidate to persuasively make his case that he has the experience and the temperament to be a dynamic and successful United States Senator.

UPDATE: City Club posted the audio listen and decide for yourself!

Today, I am at the Portland City Club for the third Democratic US Senate Primary debate.  This debate is the first to only include the viable candidates, Speaker of the House Jeff Merkley and political consultant Steve Novick.

The wireless failed me, please see my debate wrap up here

I’m so excited! And so should you be because next Friday, April 11th at 4:30 p.m., U.S. Senate candidate Jeff Merkley will be at the Lucky Lab located at 1945 NW Quimby in Portland discussing the environment and having a beer. This is an excellent way to celebrate Earth Month — with someone who has fought tirelessly for the environment in the Oregon Legislature, enacting many substantial and progressive environmental laws. A few remarkable examples include: increasing the fees that big air polluters face (to help discourage polluting in the first place), creating new recycling programs for water bottles, computers and televisions, protecting our beach estuaries, insisting that by 2025 25% of Oregon’s energy be renewable, and demanding that our greenhouse gas emissions decrease significantly; to be 75% lower than the 1990 emission rate by 2050. If you think that list is impressive, you should come meet Merkley!

Here is the clever video invite for the Green Collar Happy Hour:

I’m definitely attending, I hope to see you there!

Steve Novick got his biggest endorsement thus far in the election, anti-tax activist, signature and ballot measure guru, racketeer Bill Sizemore.   In his ringing endorsement published in Willamette Week, Sizemore made sure to highlight Novick’s negativity that has permeated the Democratic campaign:

If I was a Democrat, [Novick]’s probably who I’d vote for….

Steve is acerbic. He can be very nasty….

Attacking is almost a reflex with him…

Clearly, it takes one to know one.  Sizemore’s endorsement really has little potential to bring Democratic voters into Novick’s camp, but it does show an interesting comparison.  Becky Miller, the former Sizemore employee whose decision to turn state’s evidence led to Sizemor’s conviction, examined the many similarities between Novick and Sizemore, the two ballot meausure political consultants turned candidates over at Preemptive Karma, which is a must read.

Today is the last day of the first fundraising quarter of 2008, which means that it is also the last reporting period before Oregon’s primary election.  Donating today is the best way to leverage your donation to help Jeff Merkley beat Gordon Smith this fall.  Just ask Senator Max Cleland who knows a thing or two about serving your country and taking on the Republican attack machine:

I’ve spent my entire lifetime fighting for this country. As an officer in the Vietnam War, I sacrificed just as our men and women in the Armed Forces do every day. When I returned from Vietnam in the late 1960s our nation was torn apart and I was compelled to act.

I dedicated my life to public service – working in the U.S. Senate to advocate for my fellow veterans, to fight for affordable health care, and to create good jobs for families.

Six years ago George Bush, Dick Cheney and the national Republican Party teamed up with special interests to lie about my record and distort my lifetime of service.

This is the Karl Rove playbook. When Democrats stand up to deliver change, Republicans and special interests spread falsehoods and lies to defeat them. I am disappointed to see the same thing happening in Oregon.

Jeff Merkley is the right man for the U.S. Senate. He has dedicated his life to serving his country and fighting for hardworking families just like his own family. He opposed the Iraq War from the very start and will bring our sons and daughters home immediately.

Now Gordon Smith and the national Republican Party are attacking Jeff’s character and misleading voters about his plans to change Washington D.C. for the better.

Republicans like Gordon Smith will stop at nothing to win.

We must help Jeff defeat the Republican attack machine once and for all.

Sincerely,

Senator Max Cleland

Here at Forward Oregon, we are joining Senator Cleland in trying to get Jeff Merkley elected with our own Actblue Page.  We are more than half way to our $300 end of the quarter goal so head over to Actblue and give to Jeff Merkley.  You’re not going to find a more deserving candidate, so give him so help, so he can help us in the US Senate!

When President Obama is sworn in on January 20th, 2009 the fight to bring progressive change to America will not be over. We have already seen what a nasty partisan and obstructionist minority can do abusing the rules of the United States Senate to cause gridlock and block the common sense progressive policies that our country so desperately needs to get back on the right track. That is why I spend my volunteer hours trying to give President Obama 60 progressive votes in the US Senate by helping Democratic Speaker of the Oregon House Jeff Merkley defeat Republican Gordon Smith this fall.

Jeff has an amazing story. The son of a sawmill worker, Jeff was the first member of his family to go to college. After graduating from Stanford University and getting his masters at Princeton, Merkley was a Presidential Management Fellow in the Office of the Secretary of Defense where he did work safeguarding American military technology, verifying arms treaties, and assisting the U.S. delegation to NATO. Jeff continued his public service at the Congressional Budget Office, analyzing programs and policies for strategic nuclear weapons.

In his first diary on Kos (which shot up the rec list) Jeff talked about the importance of foreign policy experience:

I think these experiences in international affairs and national security is important. It would be a great thing if every senator and candidate for President had to have some international affairs experience. We might have avoided some of the biggest mistakes of the Reagan and current Bush administrations. It’s important to have senators who can distinguish between real threats and manufactured threats like those conjured up by Perle, Wolfowitz and President Bush.

Merkley moved back to Oregon and lead the Habitat for Humanity and the World Affairs Council but I met him during the 2006 election cycle. As Democratic Minority leader Jeff Merkley led a grassroots campaign to wrest control of the House from Republicans after 16 years of their oppressive control, something the pundits said couldn’t be done. I was privileged to be a part of both the Democrats efforts that won back the House in the 2006 election and in the 2007 legislative session. For those who were a part of those efforts, it couldn’t be more clear that we need the kind of leadership that Jeff Merkley showed in the United States Senate.

Jeff Merkley led a legislative session that was incredible. Having only a one vote majority, Merkley led a session that passed anti-discrimination legislation and domestic partnerships just two years after Oregon voters overwhelmingly put a ban on gay marriage in our constitution, put Oregon at the forefront of the fight against global warming by passing some of the toughest renewable energy standards in the country, the state version of the Employee Free Choice Act for labor rights, and radically expanding college financial aid which are just some of the policies that had people calling the session the most progressive and productive in years.

Now Jeff Merkley is running for US Senate. He is the right man for the job. After I did an interview with Merkley for my blog I wrote:

I have always been impressed with Jeff’s wonky side and today was another opportunity to see it, but it was more than that. The way Merkley interacts with the people that were asking the questions was really amazing. He is clearly smart, but unlike many people of his intelligence, he comes off being really accessible and someone that you can connect with. Often Merkley delves not only into the issue in great detail but honestly asks questions of those he is talking with, authentically caring about their opinion. I think this is a skill that makes him extraordinarily likable and will inspire both a lot of activists and a lot of regular people to get out on the campaign trail, building the kind of grassroots organization needed to take down Gordon Smith.

With Senator Obama’s campaign leading the way we need candidates that can run grassroots campaigns like Speaker Merkley has. Jeff has brought together a coalition spaning from the AFL-CIO, to SEIU, to the Council for a Livable World, to every Democratic State Representative, and to the Sierra Club to defeat Smith. Progressives are standing behind Jeff Merkley because, not only can he beat Gordon “I vote 90% of the time with Bush” Smith, but because once he is elected Speaker Merkley will bring his outstanding talent as a legislator to the table. President Obama is going to be able to lead our party with oratorical vision but he is going to need unrelenting progressive Senators like Jeff Merkley to forge good legislation that can really change this country.

When President Obama is sworn in on January 20th, 2009 the fight to bring progressive change to America will not be over. We have already seen what a nasty partisan and obstructionist minority can do abusing the rules of the United States Senate to cause gridlock and block the common sense progressive policies that our country so desperately needs to get back on the right track. That is why I spend my volunteer hours trying to give President Obama 60 progressive votes in the US Senate by helping Democratic Speaker of the Oregon House Jeff Merkley defeat Republican Gordon Smith this fall.

As many of you know there are only five more days for this quarter. The special legislative session took Jeff away from the campaign for about a month, so it is up to us to help the fundraising from the grassroots. My blog Forward Oregon started a Actblue page so please please give to an unbelievably deserving candidate. I am personally trying to raise 350 dollars on my Act Blue page by the end of the quarter and so I am going to match the first 100 bucks that is donated there. President Obama needs great Senators like Jeff Merkley to change America.

We need to see this picture in Washington D.C.:

The link to my Actblue page again

I was privileged to be a part of both the Democrats efforts that won back the House in the 2006 election and in the 2007 legislative session.  For those who were a part of those efforts, it couldn’t be more clear that we need the kind of leadership that Jeff Merkley showed in the United States Senate.

This video shows Rob Brading, who valiantly against then Speaker Karen Minnis in House District 49.  Brading ran a great campaign taking the Minnis down to the wire, despite her spending more than a million dollars and about 26 dollars per vote.  Because Rob Brading forced Minnis to divert almost all of the Republican warchest to her district, Rob paved the way for the four pick ups that swung the House into Democratic control.

T he video also shows State Rep. Ben Cannon, a freshmen Democrat.  Rep. Cannon is on the board of the Bus Project and ran his campaign in one of the most grassroots ways seen in a winner in years.  He took that approach to legislating and seen as one of the rising freshmen in the legislature.

Together Rep. Cannon and Rob Brading talk about Jeff Merkley’s leadership during the campaign and the session and why that is exactly the change we need in the US Senate.

Until now, I have not written on Steve Novick’s attacks against Senator Obama, but that hasn’t stopped everyone else. With Obama’s visit to Oregon and Novick’s less than kind endorsement of Obama, the comments are getting plenty of negative attention from Willamette Week, Jeff Mapes at the Oregonian, Politicker OR, Preemptive Karma, Senate Guru, and two posts on Blue Oregon.

Willamette Week broke the original story:

Steve Novick, running in Oregon’s Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, recently endorsed Barack Obama for president. Forget for a moment how inconsequential such an endorsement is from somebody who isn’t a super-delegate: Let’s instead review this Novick post from the political blog BlueOregon back on Dec. 6, 2006:

According to a recent New Yorker article, Barack Obama of Illinois has stood with other Midwesterners in supporting the sugar industry. Doesn’t this prove that Obama is just another captive-of-special-interests fraud who doesn’t really care about global warming and doesn’t deserve to be hailed as some great Kenya-Kansas hope?

So, Novick was against Obama before he was for him? Fair enough. [emphasis mine]

Blue Oregon also noted this Novick comment about Obama made a few weeks later:

“That is the mark of a complete sellout to the military-industrial complex. And of a politician sorely lacking in fiscal responsibility. … [Obama] shows a stunning degree of fealty to the military-industrial complex, and/or unjustifiable political timidity. [emphasis mine]

Considering that Obama has led a campaign with more than a million contributers, not taken any PAC money, and most of his money comes from small online donations, these comments came under considerable heat. Politicker OR interviewed former a former Novick ally, Oregon AFSCME (which backs Obama) political coordinator Joe Bassler who said:

Tags: OR-Sen, Seve Novick, Barack Obama, Blue Oregon, Blogging